Chinese analysts warn France's turmoil could redraw European political landscape

Social unrest sweeping France is being closely monitored by Chinese analysts, who say the crisis could reshape the broader European political landscape well beyond France's borders. The turmoil represents a major stress test for French politicians navigating deep economic and societal tensions ahead of the country's presidential election next April.

Authorities deployed around 70,000 police officers nationwide as France braced for a fresh wave of demonstrations, with some of Paris's major museums closing their doors as a precaution. A coalition of Yellow Vest activists, labour unions and students marched across the country, with grievances centred on studying conditions and the rising cost of living. Nearly 1,000 people were arrested as clashes broke out in several cities following what had begun as largely peaceful marches.

The unrest traces back to protests by high school students over learning conditions, which rapidly spread nationwide fuelled by wider anger over surging living costs. Demonstrations have also taken place in other European countries, raising concerns about a spillover effect. Shopkeepers in Paris boarded up windows and reinforced security ahead of the latest protests, reflecting the anxiety gripping the capital.

Against this backdrop, prediction markets have seen intensified trading activity over who will win the 2027 French presidency, with betting platforms reporting bullish sentiment around far-right leader Marine Le Pen.